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Soybean Rust Risk
Assessment |
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Ostioles releasing urediniospores |
In 2002 the United States Department of
Agriculture began preparing for the potential entry of soybean rust
into the conterminous U.S. (APHIS
National Strategic Action Plan). The rust is caused by two fungal
species: Phakopsora meibomiae and P. pachyrhizi,
with the latter being considerably more aggressive than the former.
P. meibomiae has only been found in the Western Hemisphere
and it is not known to cause severe yield losses in soybean (Miles
et al. 2003). For many years, P. pachyrhizi has impacted
soybean production in Australia and Asia. However in the past decade,
this more virulent species has spread to soybean fields in Hawaii
(1994), Africa (1996), Paraguay, Brazil, and Argentina (2001), Bolivia
(2003), and Uruguay and Columbia (2004) (Sinclair and Hartman 1996,
Miles et al. 2003, APHIS) (link to maps on web site). |
In November 2004, P.
pachyrhizi was detected for the first time in the southern
United States. Fortunately, cold winter weather limited the area
where soybean rust was able to survive to a few counties in central
Florida and subsequent spread during the 2005 growing season was
very gradual and confined to the southeastern U.S.
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| Soybean rust has the potential to be the most destructive
foliar disease of soybean in the U.S. due to the rapid aerial spread
of P. pachyrhizi and the high risk of severe yield losses
caused by this pathogen (Sinclair and Hartman 1996). Soybean rust
has caused significant yield reduction in many Asian countries with
losses as high as 40% in Japan (Bromfield 1984) and 80% in Taiwan
(Yang et al. 1992). During the past few years, yield losses in commercial
crops ranged from 60-80% in Zimbabwe and from 10-80% in South Africa
(Caldwell and Laing 2001). During 2003, the pathogen was detected
in most of the soybean-growing regions in Brazil with a conservative
yield loss estimate of 5% of the annual production (Miles et al. 2003).
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Yield reduction
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| The U.S. plants approximately
30 million hectares of soybean annually that yields ca. 75 million
metric tons with an on-farm value of $12 billion (USDA 2001). If soybean
rust caused a 5% loss to the U.S. soybean crop, such as Brazil recently
experienced, this would have a major economic impact on U.S. agriculture.
Kuchler et al. (1984) estimated total losses to consumers and other
sectors of the U.S. economy from soybean rust could exceed $7.2 billion/year,
even with a conservative estimate of damage. A risk analysis by Yang
(1996) indicates that P. pachyrhizi could cause yield losses
greater than 10% in any U.S. soybean-growing region; while in southeastern
states where climatic conditions would favor the spread and development
of disease, losses up to 50% are possible. During the first year of
the soybean rust establishment in the US, the USDA Economic Research
Service estimates that the expected value of the net economic loss
caused by the pathogen will range from $640 million to $1.3 billion,
depending on the severity and extent of the outbreaks (http://www.ers.usda.gov/publications/OCS/Apr04/OCS04D02/). |
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Urediniospores with germ tube
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U.S. soybean producers are preparing
to control P. pachyrhizi if it becomes established in North
America. Soybean rust resistant or tolerant cultivars have not been
developed for the U.S. (Miles et al. 2003). However, research programs
focused on breeding for resistance to soybean rust are underway
in the U.S. and other countries, such as Brazil. Fungicide applications
were able to successfully manage the soybean rust pathogen in southeastern
US production areas during 2005 and 2006.
Should soybean rust become established in the U.S., fungicides
will be the primary method for reducing crop losses until such time
when soybean cultivars resistant to the rust become available to
producers. Foliar fungicides require frequent applications, 7 to
20 days apart, and thus can add significantly to production costs
(Miles et al. 2003). |
References
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American Phytopathology
Society, 1998. Plant pathologist collaborate worldwide to combat
sorghum ergot. APSNet, http://www.apsnet.org/media/press/archive/ergot.asp
Bromfield, K. R., 1984. Soybean
rust, Monograph (American Phytopathological Society), No. 11. St.
Paul, MN. American Phytopathological Society. Caldwell,
P. and M. Laing, 2001. Soybean rust - A new disease on the
move. Kuchler, J. K., M. Duffy, R. D.
Shrum, and W. M. Dowler, 1984. Potential economic consequences
of the entry of an exotic fungal pest: the case of soybean rust. Phytopathology
74: 916-920. Line, R. F. 1997.
Barley Stripe Rust in the Pacific Northwest in 1997. http://www.wsu.edu:8080/~wheaties/bsr97.html
Miles, M. R., R. D. Frederick, and G.
L. Hartman, 2003. Soybean rust: is the U.S. soybean crop at
risk? American Phytopathological Society, APSnet. http://www.apsnet.org/online/feature/rust/top.asp
Purdy, L. H., S. V. Krupa, and J. L.
Dean, 1985. Introduction of sugarcane rust into the Americas
and its spread to Florida. Plant Disease 69: 689-693. Sinclair,
J. B. and G. L. Hartman, (eds.), 1996. Soybean rust workshop,
9-11 August 1995, College of Agriculture, Consumer, and Environmental
Sciences, National Soybean Research Laboratory Publication Number
1, Urbana, Illinois. Yang, X. B., W.
M. Dowler, A. T. Tschanz, and T. C. Wang, 1992. Comparing the
effects of soybean rust on plot yield, plant yield, direct and indirect
yield components. Journal of Phytopathology 136: 46-56. Yang,
X. B., 1996. Assessment and management of the risk of soybean
rust. Pages 52-63 in Sinclair, J. B. and G. L. Hartman (eds.), Soybean
rust workshop, 9-11 August 1995. College of Agriculture, Consumer,
and Environmental Sciences, National Soybean Research Laboratory Publication
Number 1, Urbana, Illinois.
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